WEATHER: Italy set for another wet and windy Easter weekend

Rain, wind, and a few sunny spells if you're lucky: that's what the Easter weekend is expected to look like across Italy according to weather forecasts.

WEATHER: Italy set for another wet and windy Easter weekend
Rome's Colosseum is reflected in a puddle, as people walk in the rain. Photo by Andreas SOLARO / AFP

As the Easter weekend begins, unfortunately forecasts appear to confirm the ‘wet Easter’ trend of the past couple of years, as well as a sudden drop in temperatures. 

According to the latest reports, cold air currents from northern Europe are expected to swoop down on the northernmost Italian regions during the night between Friday and Saturday.

These cold currents are expected to cause rain storms across northern and central Italy all through Saturday.

The regions of Trentino-Alto Adige, Friuli Venezia Giulia, Veneto and Lombardy might also be subject to localised hailstorms, reports Italian weather news site Il Meteo.

Overall, the descent of the above-mentioned arctic currents means temperatures are expected to drop from the 25-27C seen over the last couple of days to around 15-18C this weekend.

On Easter Sunday, conditions will improve significantly in the north and centre of the country – but take your umbrella if you’re in the southern regions of Puglia, Basilicata, Calabria or Sicily, where rain showers are expected again.

Weather conditions should stabilise later on Sunday across the peninsula, with Sicily and the Salento region in Puglia as the sole exceptions: some rain showers and moderate winds might persist in these areas.

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EXPLAINED: Why Italy is braced for another major drought this spring

After experiencing its worst drought in seven decades last year, Italy looks on course to experience another water emergency in the coming months. Here’s why.

EXPLAINED: Why Italy is braced for another major drought this spring

Italy experienced its worst drought in 70 years last summer, with the government declaring a state of emergency in five northern regions (Emilia-Romagna, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Lombardy, Piedmont and Veneto) and many parts of the country independently bringing in water use restrictions.

But the threat of another record drought is currently looming over the country, as an exceptionally dry winter – the Alps have received less than half of their normal snowfall so far – has already critically reduced the water levels of many Italian rivers and lakes, especially in the north of the country.

READ ALSO: How climate change left Italy’s ski resorts fighting for survival

The Po, Italy’s longest river and largest reservoir of fresh water, currently has 61 percent less water than normal at this time of the year. 

Vast sections of the river are already parched: in the Pavia the water level is now three metres below the zero gauge.

But Italy’s largest lake, Lake Garda, is also bearing the brunt of a winter with little to no rain or snowfall. The lake is currently registering the lowest wintertime water levels in 35 years, making it possible for residents to reach the island of San Biagio on foot.

Italy's Lake Garda hit by severe drought

Italy’s largest lake, Lake Garda, is currently registering its lowest wintertime water levels in 35 years. Photo by Miguel MEDINA / AFP

What can we expect in the coming months?

Whether or not Italy will face a drought as serious as last year’s will largely depend on weather conditions in the next three months, which are usually the rainiest time of the year for many regions in the north. 

READ ALSO: Record-breaking winter temperatures warm Europe

According to Massimiliano Pasqui, a researcher at Italy’s National Research Council (CNR), rainfall in the coming months may compensate for the dry weather of the past few weeks, but northwestern regions will need at least “50 days of rain”, which are roughly equivalent to 500 millimetres of accumulated rainfall.

That said, should the current lack of rain continue (or further aggravate) in springtime, Italy would end up facing many of the problems that it experienced last summer. 

Last year’s drought caused €6 billion worth of damage to Italian agriculture, with the country losing a third of its crops, according to data from farmers’ association Coldiretti.

Another severe water emergency would likely result in similar losses, once again endangering the survival of countless businesses across the country. 

A parched Po River due to drought in northern Italy

Italy’s farming industry recorded losses for six billion euros as a result of last year’s drought. Photo by Andrea PATTARO / AFP

But Italy might also encounter issues regarding its drinking water supplies. In particular, the ‘flow back’ of salt water into river deltas (salt water was found nearly 40 kilometres up the Po river last year) might make many aquifers unusable without the employment of desalinators.

Finally, a future drought might also impair the production of hydroelectric power across the country at a time when Italy is gradually transitioning away from fossil energy sources.

Environmental groups including Legambiente have urged the government to draft a “national water plan” to prevent a repeat of last year’s national emergency.